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Red159
96737.6
477839.2
642141.4
Blue141
250944.0
363049.7
703833.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12614750100200159141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#22
41.40.9
40.441.3
Auto15.2
Teleop2.4
End23.8
blue by 8.3
49.70.4
50.550.8
Auto15.2
Teleop8.4
End26.2
Second
39.20.8
38.339.0
Auto15.4
Teleop9.5
End14.3
blue by 4.8
2509
#10
44.00.3
44.745.1
Auto12.8
Teleop4.4
End26.9
Third
967
#25
37.60.9
36.637.4
Auto15.2
Teleop8.4
End14.0
red by 4.3
7038
#26
33.20.3
34.034.3
Auto10.9
Teleop6.2
End16.2