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Red165
16746.0
181660.7
546436.9
Blue105
374032.2
604534.1
400943.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15812350100200250165105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.70.8
58.659.4
Auto20.4
Teleop13.2
End27.1
red by 17.0
4009
#19
43.71.2
45.143.9
Auto17.2
Teleop11.4
End15.0
Second
167
#7
46.00.8
43.944.7
Auto14.5
Teleop7.6
End23.9
red by 11.9
34.11.2
35.534.4
Auto15.0
Teleop8.8
End10.3
Third
5464
#40
36.90.8
34.735.6
Auto12.3
Teleop2.7
End21.9
red by 4.7
3740
#12
32.21.2
33.632.4
Auto8.4
Teleop2.8
End20.9