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Red124
226434.9
614633.9
181660.7
Blue144
599145.4
400943.7
779734.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13212680100140160180200124144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.71.0
53.852.9
Auto20.4
Teleop13.2
End27.1
red by 15.2
45.41.4
37.138.5
Auto6.1
Teleop8.7
End30.7
Second
2264
#31
34.91.0
36.935.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End12.0
blue by 8.7
4009
#19
43.71.4
44.445.8
Auto17.2
Teleop11.4
End15.0
Third
6146
#29
33.91.0
27.126.1
Auto10.5
Teleop5.3
End18.1
blue by 0.1
7797
#10
34.01.4
32.233.6
Auto11.1
Teleop5.3
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
35%Shield Operational oddsMissed33%Shield Operational oddsEarned