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Red100
216930.0
565333.6
375523.2
Blue121
645339.5
418125.2
472844.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96114050150200250100121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
#41
33.60.4
31.130.7
Auto10.6
Teleop10.2
End12.8
blue by 11.1
4728
#14
44.72.2
43.645.8
Auto16.0
Teleop11.5
End17.2
Second
2169
#54
30.00.6
31.430.8
Auto10.8
Teleop8.9
End10.3
blue by 9.5
6453
#23
39.52.2
35.037.2
Auto11.5
Teleop9.9
End18.1
Third
3755
#45
23.20.6
25.424.8
Auto10.2
Teleop3.6
End9.4
blue by 2.0
4181
#48
25.22.2
21.123.3
Auto7.9
Teleop4.6
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
26%Shield Operational oddsMissed16%Shield Operational oddsEarned