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Red112
329123.5
569046.4
448029.2
Blue124
252625.6
614633.9
374032.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12083050100150200112124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#22
46.41.2
48.347.1
Auto14.5
Teleop9.6
End22.3
red by 12.5
6146
#29
33.94.3
29.633.9
Auto10.5
Teleop5.3
End18.1
Second
4480
#59
29.21.2
30.429.2
Auto8.2
Teleop-0.4
End21.4
blue by 3.0
3740
#12
32.24.3
29.333.6
Auto8.4
Teleop2.8
End20.9
Third
3291
#39
23.51.2
24.723.5
Auto10.8
Teleop2.0
End10.7
blue by 2.1
2526
#43
25.64.3
20.424.7
Auto7.8
Teleop6.7
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
30%Shield Operational oddsMissed30%Shield Operational oddsEarned