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Red157
513322.1
228330.2
588716.3
Blue82
634834.6
463537.4
670217.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6810705015020015782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.21.0
29.330.2
Auto9.1
Teleop11.6
End9.6
blue by 7.1
37.40.6
38.037.4
Auto12.7
Teleop14.0
End10.7
Second
22.11.0
21.222.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End6.3
blue by 12.4
6348
#10
34.60.6
35.234.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.0
End17.1
Third
5887
#18
16.31.0
15.316.3
Auto5.3
Teleop0.4
End10.7
blue by 1.0
6702
#41
17.30.6
17.917.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End7.4