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Red60
401032.7
71021.5
729913.9
Blue30
617021.6
66666.9
670217.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585301001506030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.8
34.433.7
Auto13.3
Teleop6.7
End12.7
red by 11.1
6170
#14
21.61.5
21.820.3
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End16.9
Second
13.90.8
14.613.8
Auto9.3
Teleop1.2
End3.4
blue by 3.4
6702
#41
17.31.5
18.016.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End7.4
Third
7102
#37
1.50.8
2.31.5
Auto1.4
Teleop2.5
End-2.4
blue by 5.4
6666
#36
6.91.5
8.46.9
Auto6.1
Teleop-0.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
10%Shield Operational oddsMissed8%Shield Operational oddsMissed