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Red85
352227.2
401032.7
393321.9
Blue97
513322.1
228330.2
588716.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95590501508597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.1
32.532.6
Auto13.3
Teleop6.7
End12.7
red by 2.5
30.20.6
26.527.1
Auto9.1
Teleop11.6
End9.6
Second
27.20.1
27.027.1
Auto9.8
Teleop6.6
End10.9
red by 5.0
22.10.6
18.419.0
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End6.3
Third
3933
#31
21.90.1
21.721.8
Auto5.6
Teleop2.2
End14.1
red by 5.6
5887
#18
16.30.6
12.613.2
Auto5.3
Teleop0.4
End10.7