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Red153
634834.6
463537.4
670217.3
Blue84
335423.2
347845.9
587420.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001018012014015384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.4
37.838.3
Auto12.7
Teleop14.0
End10.7
blue by 8.6
45.90.2
46.145.9
Auto13.2
Teleop16.0
End16.8
Second
6348
#10
34.60.4
35.035.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.0
End17.1
red by 11.4
23.20.2
23.423.1
Auto8.9
Teleop1.3
End13.0
Third
6702
#41
17.30.4
17.818.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End7.4
blue by 3.0
5874
#17
20.30.2
20.420.2
Auto6.9
Teleop3.2
End10.2