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Red78
268238.2
122537.1
830412.3
Blue23
350614.6
831517.5
493516.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1154901001502007823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2682
#14
38.20.6
40.840.2
Auto12.9
Teleop11.4
End13.9
red by 20.7
8315
#10
17.50.6
19.018.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End6.3
Second
37.10.5
39.438.9
Auto7.1
Teleop6.1
End23.9
red by 21.0
4935
#29
16.10.6
17.616.9
Auto8.4
Teleop2.1
End5.5
Third
8304
#16
12.30.6
14.914.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.6
End8.6
blue by 2.3
3506
#21
14.60.6
15.214.6
Auto5.5
Teleop1.9
End7.2