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Red145
551141.0
516043.6
776320.4
Blue87
456137.2
650243.2
560715.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11511005015020025030014587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.6
42.643.2
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End25.2
red by 0.3
43.20.3
44.344.1
Auto16.0
Teleop13.7
End13.5
Second
41.00.6
40.140.6
Auto16.7
Teleop11.8
End12.5
red by 3.9
37.20.3
38.338.0
Auto14.9
Teleop9.8
End12.5
Third
7763
#22
20.40.6
19.420.0
Auto4.8
Teleop4.6
End10.9
red by 4.9
5607
#23
15.50.3
16.616.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End3.9