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Red77
649622.6
43533.2
690821.7
Blue111
456137.2
650243.2
560715.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7910905015020077111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#11
33.20.0
32.132.1
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End20.0
blue by 10.0
43.20.4
42.643.0
Auto16.0
Teleop13.7
End13.5
Second
6496
#13
22.60.0
21.521.5
Auto7.0
Teleop3.7
End12.0
blue by 14.5
37.20.4
36.536.9
Auto14.9
Teleop9.8
End12.5
Third
6908
#20
21.70.0
20.520.5
Auto7.6
Teleop7.5
End6.5
red by 6.2
5607
#23
15.50.4
14.815.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End3.9