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Red132
649622.6
43533.2
690821.7
Blue177
456137.2
650243.2
560715.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78110050100150200132177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#11
33.21.2
32.133.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End20.0
blue by 10.0
43.21.4
43.044.3
Auto16.0
Teleop13.7
End13.5
Second
6496
#13
22.61.2
21.522.6
Auto7.0
Teleop3.7
End12.0
blue by 14.5
37.21.4
36.938.3
Auto14.9
Teleop9.8
End12.5
Third
6908
#20
21.71.2
20.521.7
Auto7.6
Teleop7.5
End6.5
red by 6.2
5607
#23
15.51.4
15.216.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End3.9