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Red144
460747.8
591354.5
565833.6
Blue159
313046.7
245030.2
320646.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157146100200250144159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.50.1
55.655.7
Auto16.8
Teleop13.6
End24.1
red by 7.8
3130
#14
46.70.4
50.050.3
Auto14.9
Teleop10.3
End21.5
Second
4607
#31
47.80.1
48.949.0
Auto10.9
Teleop18.8
End18.0
red by 1.6
3206
#11
46.20.3
49.249.6
Auto15.6
Teleop11.8
End18.9
Third
5658
#20
33.60.1
34.834.9
Auto6.7
Teleop7.6
End19.4
red by 3.4
30.20.3
33.333.6
Auto14.1
Teleop3.5
End12.6