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Red100
320646.2
617520.6
702852.3
Blue111
254928.4
453957.9
179236.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83135050100150200250100111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#13
52.32.1
27.529.6
Auto15.7
Teleop19.7
End16.8
blue by 5.6
57.90.4
47.647.2
Auto16.6
Teleop14.8
End26.5
Second
3206
#11
46.22.1
37.439.5
Auto15.6
Teleop11.8
End18.9
red by 10.0
1792
#25
36.20.4
40.039.6
Auto11.8
Teleop18.2
End6.2
Third
6175
#53
20.62.1
16.118.2
Auto9.1
Teleop8.7
End2.8
blue by 7.9
2549
#26
28.40.4
27.126.7
Auto8.1
Teleop9.8
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
15%Shield Operational oddsMissed27%Shield Operational oddsMissed