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Red233
517283.7
329360.2
419834.9
Blue100
288358.1
308249.9
284734.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191162100150250300233100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#12
83.71.9
80.082.0
Auto26.9
Teleop35.3
End21.6
red by 25.6
58.11.5
60.358.8
Auto12.5
Teleop18.5
End27.2
Second
60.21.9
56.658.5
Auto15.9
Teleop20.8
End23.6
red by 10.4
49.91.5
52.050.5
Auto15.3
Teleop9.6
End25.0
Third
4198
#35
34.91.9
31.233.2
Auto11.2
Teleop8.8
End14.9
red by 0.2
2847
#52
34.71.5
36.835.3
Auto12.3
Teleop14.6
End7.8