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Red206
517283.7
329360.2
419834.9
Blue122
288358.1
308249.9
284734.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200155100250300350206122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#12
83.70.5
82.082.5
Auto26.9
Teleop35.3
End21.6
red by 25.6
58.10.7
58.858.1
Auto12.5
Teleop18.5
End27.2
Second
60.20.5
58.559.0
Auto15.9
Teleop20.8
End23.6
red by 10.4
49.90.7
50.549.9
Auto15.3
Teleop9.6
End25.0
Third
4198
#35
34.90.5
33.233.7
Auto11.2
Teleop8.8
End14.9
red by 0.2
2847
#52
34.70.7
35.334.7
Auto12.3
Teleop14.6
End7.8