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Red154
66345.4
693334.5
151739.1
Blue159
50152.4
490950.3
782223.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13013950100150200250154159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#12
45.40.5
44.845.4
Auto10.9
Teleop4.7
End29.8
blue by 7.0
501
#6
52.40.8
51.652.4
Auto17.8
Teleop14.8
End19.8
Second
1517
#16
39.10.5
38.639.1
Auto12.2
Teleop7.4
End19.5
blue by 11.2
50.30.8
49.550.3
Auto12.6
Teleop12.8
End24.9
Third
34.50.5
34.034.5
Auto11.0
Teleop8.6
End14.9
red by 11.5
7822
#30
23.00.8
22.223.0
Auto11.0
Teleop3.7
End8.4