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Red116
46712.0
9553.2
492927.8
Blue90
66345.4
693334.5
151739.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961245015020025011690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#7
53.20.3
52.052.3
Auto12.8
Teleop21.7
End18.7
red by 7.8
663
#12
45.40.4
41.441.0
Auto10.9
Teleop4.7
End29.8
Second
4929
#13
27.80.3
26.626.9
Auto7.2
Teleop7.5
End13.1
blue by 11.3
1517
#16
39.10.4
35.535.1
Auto12.2
Teleop7.4
End19.5
Third
467
#38
12.00.3
10.811.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.9
blue by 22.5
34.50.4
30.530.1
Auto11.0
Teleop8.6
End14.9