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Red199
151953.7
568754.7
476122.4
Blue157
31954.7
356645.0
15130.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14312950100200250300199157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.70.6
53.353.9
Auto14.0
Teleop18.2
End22.5
Level
319
#14
54.70.5
50.551.0
Auto19.3
Teleop10.1
End25.3
Second
53.70.6
52.352.9
Auto20.0
Teleop12.5
End21.2
red by 8.6
3566
#10
45.00.5
40.841.4
Auto17.8
Teleop12.5
End14.8
Third
4761
#21
22.40.6
21.021.6
Auto10.4
Teleop5.5
End6.5
blue by 8.0
151
#18
30.40.5
26.226.7
Auto10.1
Teleop3.7
End16.5