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Red128
71339.5
13360.6
50152.4
Blue96
616120.6
15130.4
151739.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9851015020012896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#5
60.63.5
45.849.3
Auto16.4
Teleop17.4
End26.8
red by 21.6
1517
#16
39.14.6
23.227.9
Auto12.2
Teleop7.4
End19.5
Second
501
#6
52.43.5
18.622.1
Auto17.8
Teleop14.8
End19.8
red by 22.0
151
#18
30.44.6
5.09.7
Auto10.1
Teleop3.7
End16.5
Third
7133
#26
9.53.5
17.420.9
Auto4.6
Teleop-0.9
End5.8
blue by 11.2
6161
#29
20.64.6
23.027.7
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
17%Shield Operational oddsEarned11%Shield Operational oddsEarned