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Red182
381450.4
549247.3
332439.6
Blue225
178760.6
34062.5
326643.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145182100200250300182225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3814
#11
50.41.4
49.550.9
Auto14.8
Teleop7.0
End28.7
blue by 12.1
340
#2
62.52.0
59.961.9
Auto17.8
Teleop23.5
End21.2
Second
5492
#10
47.31.4
46.447.8
Auto11.3
Teleop12.5
End23.6
blue by 13.3
60.62.0
58.060.0
Auto12.6
Teleop23.4
End24.6
Third
3324
#32
39.61.4
38.740.1
Auto14.6
Teleop6.3
End18.7
blue by 3.4
3266
#16
43.02.0
40.442.4
Auto10.9
Teleop12.0
End20.0