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Quarterfinal 1-12020 Miami Valley Regional
Red170
173655.7
541365.7
493026.3
Blue179
381450.4
549247.3
332439.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16913650100150200250170179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#1
65.70.2
65.6→65.9
Auto20.2
Teleop17.7
End27.8
red by 15.3
3814
#11
50.41.0
46.7→47.7
Auto14.8
Teleop7.0
End28.7
Second
1736
#13
55.70.2
55.6→55.8
Auto16.8
Teleop15.1
End23.8
red by 8.4
5492
#10
47.31.0
43.6→44.6
Auto11.3
Teleop12.5
End23.6
Third
4930
#60
26.30.2
26.2→26.4
Auto12.0
Teleop8.4
End5.9
blue by 13.3
3324
#32
39.61.0
35.8→36.9
Auto14.6
Teleop6.3
End18.7