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Red139
278348.1
402843.6
37937.9
Blue111
151138.1
461150.5
320130.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14713350100200250139111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#14
48.10.3
48.248.5
Auto10.5
Teleop13.3
End24.2
blue by 2.3
50.50.4
51.050.7
Auto11.5
Teleop14.8
End24.2
Second
43.60.3
43.844.0
Auto13.9
Teleop9.2
End20.5
red by 5.6
1511
#28
38.10.4
38.638.3
Auto11.7
Teleop13.4
End13.0
Third
379
#42
37.90.3
38.038.3
Auto13.2
Teleop16.2
End8.5
red by 7.5
3201
#44
30.40.4
31.030.6
Auto10.7
Teleop8.7
End11.0