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Red128
34062.5
402843.6
103819.2
Blue120
173655.7
14433.0
428422.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10896050150200128120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#2
62.53.3
40.944.3
Auto17.8
Teleop23.5
End21.2
red by 6.8
1736
#13
55.73.6
35.539.2
Auto16.8
Teleop15.1
End23.8
Second
43.63.3
31.835.1
Auto13.9
Teleop9.2
End20.5
red by 10.7
144
#41
33.03.6
28.932.5
Auto11.7
Teleop13.8
End7.5
Third
1038
#58
19.23.3
22.525.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.5
End-0.5
blue by 3.0
4284
#45
22.33.6
23.026.6
Auto7.6
Teleop2.1
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
12%Shield Operational oddsMissed17%Shield Operational oddsMissed