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Red139
428422.3
225247.7
178760.6
Blue75
319332.5
131724.1
332439.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10510305015020013975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.65.0
33.138.1
Auto12.6
Teleop23.4
End24.6
red by 21.0
3324
#32
39.62.3
39.837.5
Auto14.6
Teleop6.3
End18.7
Second
47.75.0
39.244.2
Auto11.9
Teleop10.5
End25.2
red by 15.1
3193
#23
32.52.3
24.221.9
Auto15.2
Teleop5.2
End12.2
Third
4284
#45
22.35.0
21.526.5
Auto7.6
Teleop2.1
End12.5
blue by 1.8
1317
#22
24.12.3
28.826.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.2
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
8%Shield Operational oddsEarned18%Shield Operational oddsMissed