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Red98
446735.7
743416.8
326643.0
Blue74
828919.2
408527.5
103819.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688002040601001201409874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3266
#16
43.04.0
26.030.0
Auto10.9
Teleop12.0
End20.0
red by 15.5
4085
#39
27.51.2
31.029.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End13.5
Second
4467
#29
35.74.0
28.432.4
Auto8.3
Teleop7.9
End19.4
red by 16.4
1038
#58
19.21.2
22.120.9
Auto6.2
Teleop13.5
End-0.5
Third
7434
#26
16.84.0
7.511.5
Auto7.8
Teleop3.9
End5.1
blue by 2.4
8289
#36
19.21.2
16.915.7
Auto7.4
Teleop6.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
16%Shield Operational oddsEarned9%Shield Operational oddsMissed