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Red176
132558.0
86559.8
685922.6
Blue131
136037.5
260947.3
654438.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157133050100200250300176131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#1
59.80.2
58.959.1
Auto16.4
Teleop14.0
End29.4
red by 12.6
47.30.2
47.147.3
Auto10.0
Teleop13.3
End24.0
Second
58.00.2
57.157.3
Auto14.8
Teleop14.3
End28.9
red by 19.9
6544
#14
38.10.2
37.938.1
Auto8.3
Teleop7.0
End22.9
Third
6859
#28
22.60.2
21.721.9
Auto7.3
Teleop7.3
End8.0
blue by 14.8
1360
#15
37.50.2
37.337.5
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End13.2