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Red134
497649.4
260951.2
760326.2
Blue126
447641.6
494650.7
614019.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139122050100200250300134126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.4
50.049.6
Auto12.8
Teleop12.8
End25.6
red by 0.5
50.70.0
50.750.7
Auto12.6
Teleop18.6
End19.5
Second
4976
#13
49.40.5
48.047.6
Auto14.7
Teleop15.9
End18.8
red by 7.8
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto13.7
Teleop18.8
End9.0
Third
7603
#32
26.20.5
24.824.3
Auto6.0
Teleop11.5
End8.6
red by 7.1
6140
#26
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End9.2