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Red151
502453.8
697719.4
755849.1
Blue84
762321.8
717435.9
600924.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1127505010015020015184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.85.1
33.638.7
Auto16.6
Teleop10.8
End26.4
red by 17.8
7174
#11
35.91.6
25.323.7
Auto16.4
Teleop9.7
End9.8
Second
49.15.1
39.844.9
Auto13.3
Teleop15.5
End20.3
red by 24.5
6009
#19
24.51.6
20.619.0
Auto11.2
Teleop8.3
End5.1
Third
6977
#17
19.45.1
22.627.7
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End4.1
blue by 2.4
7623
#13
21.81.6
25.724.1
Auto6.9
Teleop4.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
20%Shield Operational oddsMissed18%Shield Operational oddsMissed