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Red230
247171.6
154068.1
529515.2
Blue157
142558.0
371144.4
36025.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185109050150200250300230157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.60.0
72.472.4
Auto22.7
Teleop32.1
End16.8
red by 13.6
58.01.1
51.052.2
Auto22.4
Teleop17.1
End18.5
Second
68.10.0
68.968.9
Auto22.5
Teleop26.4
End19.3
red by 23.7
44.41.1
37.538.6
Auto13.0
Teleop4.3
End27.1
Third
5295
#34
15.20.0
15.315.3
Auto5.7
Teleop-0.3
End9.8
blue by 10.1
360
#24
25.31.1
18.419.5
Auto12.8
Teleop9.4
End3.1