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Red153
247171.6
154068.1
529515.2
Blue189
142558.0
371144.4
36025.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184113050150200250300153189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.60.1
72.472.3
Auto22.7
Teleop32.1
End16.8
red by 13.6
58.01.4
52.253.6
Auto22.4
Teleop17.1
End18.5
Second
68.10.1
68.968.8
Auto22.5
Teleop26.4
End19.3
red by 23.7
44.41.4
38.640.0
Auto13.0
Teleop4.3
End27.1
Third
5295
#34
15.20.1
15.315.2
Auto5.7
Teleop-0.3
End9.8
blue by 10.1
360
#24
25.31.4
19.520.9
Auto12.8
Teleop9.4
End3.1