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Red153
299051.4
363641.1
143219.2
Blue174
448849.4
367471.2
646521.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120154050100200250153174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.9
51.352.2
Auto17.6
Teleop16.1
End17.7
blue by 19.8
71.20.9
68.269.1
Auto17.9
Teleop27.7
End25.5
Second
41.10.9
41.041.9
Auto12.9
Teleop9.1
End19.1
blue by 8.4
49.40.9
46.547.4
Auto14.2
Teleop19.0
End16.3
Third
1432
#32
19.20.9
19.120.0
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.6
End17.1
blue by 2.8
6465
#36
21.90.9
19.019.9
Auto9.0
Teleop3.9
End9.0