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Red158
249518.7
180755.4
331445.5
Blue105
511333.8
34117.2
70925.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10182050150200250158105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.47.7
29.237.0
Auto12.4
Teleop19.9
End23.2
red by 21.6
5113
#17
33.80.4
28.728.3
Auto12.3
Teleop7.0
End14.5
Second
45.57.7
41.349.0
Auto13.6
Teleop10.4
End21.4
red by 19.8
709
#23
25.60.4
22.822.4
Auto12.2
Teleop5.0
End8.5
Third
2495
#20
18.77.7
17.825.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End8.3
red by 1.5
341
#34
17.20.4
24.223.8
Auto9.4
Teleop4.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
20%Shield Operational oddsEarned13%Shield Operational oddsMissed