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Red187
336047.1
399052.9
262633.4
Blue131
201326.8
338623.0
177234.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14283050100200250187131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.91.2
48.549.6
Auto17.4
Teleop12.4
End23.1
red by 18.5
1772
#15
34.30.8
33.634.3
Auto16.8
Teleop7.5
End10.1
Second
47.11.2
42.743.8
Auto18.5
Teleop23.3
End5.2
red by 20.3
2013
#20
26.80.8
26.026.8
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End12.4
Third
2626
#22
33.41.2
29.030.2
Auto14.1
Teleop5.4
End13.9
red by 10.4
3386
#10
23.00.8
22.223.0
Auto9.8
Teleop9.2
End4.0