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Red90
561840.6
398838.7
557020.2
Blue206
494737.7
760536.0
201630.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169205015020025090206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5618
#18
40.60.3
41.241.0
Auto13.3
Teleop6.9
End20.4
red by 3.0
4947
#21
37.72.0
31.533.5
Auto12.7
Teleop11.8
End13.2
Second
38.70.3
39.339.1
Auto16.8
Teleop11.6
End10.4
red by 2.8
36.02.0
29.831.8
Auto16.5
Teleop5.4
End14.1
Third
5570
#11
20.20.3
20.820.5
Auto8.2
Teleop2.0
End10.0
blue by 10.0
2016
#12
30.22.0
24.026.1
Auto10.2
Teleop4.5
End15.5