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Red122
557020.2
399052.9
223444.6
Blue131
495241.3
338623.0
354422.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11683050100150200122131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.92.5
36.338.8
Auto17.4
Teleop12.4
End23.1
red by 11.5
4952
#16
41.30.8
27.228.0
Auto12.1
Teleop15.6
End13.7
Second
2234
#14
44.61.5
33.935.4
Auto16.2
Teleop6.8
End21.6
red by 21.6
3386
#10
23.00.8
30.030.8
Auto9.8
Teleop9.2
End4.0
Third
5570
#11
20.22.5
29.732.1
Auto8.2
Teleop2.0
End10.0
blue by 2.0
3544
#23
22.20.8
21.622.4
Auto8.2
Teleop5.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
19%Shield Operational oddsEarned9%Shield Operational oddsMissed