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Red70
209520.7
177234.3
354422.2
Blue35
29627.5
201326.8
473518.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741050501502007035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1772
#15
34.30.0
27.527.5
Auto16.8
Teleop7.5
End10.1
red by 6.9
296
#5
27.55.0
27.923.0
Auto10.2
Teleop2.9
End14.4
Second
3544
#23
22.20.0
21.021.0
Auto8.2
Teleop5.7
End8.3
blue by 4.6
2013
#20
26.86.2
31.124.9
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End12.4
Third
2095
#17
20.70.0
21.621.6
Auto6.6
Teleop4.1
End10.0
red by 2.5
4735
#26
18.26.2
31.825.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.4
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
7%Shield Operational oddsMissed10%Shield Operational oddsMissed