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Red129
336047.1
398838.7
495513.5
Blue123
177234.3
398527.2
495241.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92100050150200250300129123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.12.3
39.641.8
Auto18.5
Teleop23.3
End5.2
red by 5.7
4952
#16
41.31.6
37.939.5
Auto12.1
Teleop15.6
End13.7
Second
38.72.3
32.935.2
Auto16.8
Teleop11.6
End10.4
red by 4.4
1772
#15
34.31.6
29.130.7
Auto16.8
Teleop7.5
End10.1
Third
4955
#25
13.52.3
10.913.1
Auto4.2
Teleop1.1
End8.2
blue by 13.7
3985
#19
27.21.6
21.723.3
Auto8.5
Teleop4.0
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
6%Shield Operational oddsMissed14%Shield Operational oddsMissed