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Red131
398638.1
495241.3
311739.4
Blue151
494737.7
398838.7
399052.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12612480100140160180131151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4952
#16
41.31.2
40.341.5
Auto12.1
Teleop15.6
End13.7
blue by 11.5
52.92.7
45.648.3
Auto17.4
Teleop12.4
End23.1
Second
39.41.2
37.038.2
Auto11.4
Teleop11.9
End16.1
red by 0.7
38.72.7
36.739.3
Auto16.8
Teleop11.6
End10.4
Third
38.11.2
35.536.8
Auto10.3
Teleop10.2
End17.7
red by 0.4
4947
#21
37.72.7
28.831.5
Auto12.7
Teleop11.8
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
15%Shield Operational oddsMissed13%Shield Operational oddsMissed