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Red40
577722.5
281534.8
426712.5
Blue115
397618.1
405041.3
453329.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607705010015020040115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#14
34.81.7
20.318.6
Auto13.0
Teleop0.5
End21.2
blue by 6.6
4050
#30
41.32.0
26.528.5
Auto16.8
Teleop3.1
End21.5
Second
5777
#40
22.51.7
17.515.8
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End10.5
blue by 7.3
4533
#10
29.82.0
25.227.2
Auto8.0
Teleop1.9
End19.8
Third
4267
#56
12.51.7
17.716.0
Auto6.1
Teleop1.0
End5.4
blue by 5.6
3976
#23
18.12.0
15.017.0
Auto8.3
Teleop2.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
11%Shield Operational oddsMissed12%Shield Operational oddsMissed