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Red127
281534.8
261457.7
669315.1
Blue88
696114.8
50635.8
128734.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11152010015020012788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.73.3
48.651.9
Auto16.3
Teleop13.9
End27.5
red by 23.1
1287
#21
34.60.3
34.334.6
Auto12.2
Teleop5.0
End17.4
Second
2815
#14
34.83.3
31.835.1
Auto13.0
Teleop0.5
End21.2
red by 19.9
6961
#44
14.80.4
14.514.8
Auto5.7
Teleop2.5
End6.6
Third
6693
#47
15.13.1
12.015.1
Auto6.3
Teleop0.6
End8.2
red by 9.3
5063
#58
5.80.3
5.45.8
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
43%Shield Operational oddsEarned10%Shield Operational oddsMissed