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Red159
445158.1
382455.2
348931.4
Blue140
10834.5
261457.7
34234.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16812350100150200250159140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#12
58.10.3
58.158.4
Auto20.0
Teleop16.9
End21.2
red by 0.4
57.70.7
54.054.7
Auto16.3
Teleop13.9
End27.5
Second
55.20.3
55.255.5
Auto15.4
Teleop7.0
End32.7
red by 20.6
108
#32
34.50.7
30.831.6
Auto13.0
Teleop11.4
End10.1
Third
3489
#46
31.40.4
31.431.8
Auto8.9
Teleop6.8
End15.7
blue by 2.9
342
#31
34.30.7
30.631.3
Auto13.9
Teleop5.3
End15.1