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Red42
698937.6
729636.6
753622.3
Blue125
808441.5
728551.8
364625.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11212905015020025030042125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.61.9
40.038.0
Auto13.7
Teleop12.5
End11.5
blue by 14.2
51.80.4
50.150.4
Auto18.0
Teleop6.7
End27.1
Second
36.61.3
38.236.9
Auto6.7
Teleop4.1
End25.9
blue by 4.8
41.50.4
39.740.1
Auto13.6
Teleop7.2
End20.7
Third
7536
#28
22.31.9
24.222.3
Auto9.0
Teleop6.2
End7.1
blue by 3.2
3646
#42
25.50.4
23.724.1
Auto12.3
Teleop3.1
End10.1