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Red45
698937.6
729636.6
815115.6
Blue163
808441.5
728551.8
364625.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10113205015020025045163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.61.6
39.237.6
Auto13.7
Teleop12.5
End11.5
blue by 14.2
51.81.5
50.451.8
Auto18.0
Teleop6.7
End27.1
Second
36.61.1
37.736.6
Auto6.7
Teleop4.1
End25.9
blue by 4.8
41.51.5
40.041.5
Auto13.6
Teleop7.2
End20.7
Third
8151
#20
15.61.6
17.115.6
Auto6.8
Teleop1.5
End7.3
blue by 10.0
3646
#42
25.51.5
24.125.5
Auto12.3
Teleop3.1
End10.1