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Red160
728551.8
729636.6
774210.0
Blue43
812718.5
824510.8
746526.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5451020408010012014016016043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.85.1
22.727.8
Auto18.0
Teleop6.7
End27.1
red by 25.1
7465
#43
26.80.7
18.317.6
Auto10.9
Teleop5.2
End10.6
Second
36.63.7
14.117.8
Auto6.7
Teleop4.1
End25.9
red by 18.2
8127
#24
18.50.5
12.912.4
Auto6.3
Teleop3.9
End8.3
Third
7742
#45
10.03.7
11.415.2
Auto2.8
Teleop-1.1
End8.2
blue by 0.8
8245
#38
10.80.7
14.914.3
Auto7.6
Teleop1.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
6%Shield Operational oddsEarned12%Shield Operational oddsMissed