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Red141
603829.3
606448.8
820023.0
Blue93
803419.3
728551.8
814117.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7768020406010012014016014193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.88.1
27.936.0
Auto14.4
Teleop5.2
End29.2
blue by 3.0
51.83.4
31.034.4
Auto18.0
Teleop6.7
End27.1
Second
6038
#15
29.38.1
23.831.9
Auto14.0
Teleop2.0
End13.3
red by 10.0
8034
#39
19.33.4
17.821.3
Auto6.4
Teleop3.9
End9.0
Third
8200
#13
23.08.1
16.424.5
Auto13.8
Teleop2.8
End6.4
red by 5.1
8141
#29
17.93.4
13.416.8
Auto6.9
Teleop1.8
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
9%Shield Operational oddsEarned12%Shield Operational oddsMissed