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Red117
698937.6
729636.6
753622.3
Blue141
606448.8
775837.4
645918.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106119050150200250300117141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.7
37.738.4
Auto13.7
Teleop12.5
End11.5
blue by 11.1
48.81.2
49.050.2
Auto14.4
Teleop5.2
End29.2
Second
36.60.5
36.737.2
Auto6.7
Teleop4.1
End25.9
blue by 0.8
37.41.2
37.638.8
Auto14.2
Teleop3.4
End19.8
Third
7536
#28
22.30.7
22.022.7
Auto9.0
Teleop6.2
End7.1
red by 4.3
6459
#19
18.01.2
18.319.4
Auto6.6
Teleop6.7
End4.8