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Red114
602538.7
641738.7
815820.3
Blue139
808441.5
728551.8
364625.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106125050150200250300114139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.4
38.639.0
Auto14.5
Teleop7.9
End16.4
blue by 13.1
51.80.9
48.849.8
Auto18.0
Teleop6.7
End27.1
Second
38.70.4
38.638.9
Auto10.5
Teleop12.0
End16.2
blue by 2.8
41.50.9
38.439.4
Auto13.6
Teleop7.2
End20.7
Third
8158
#25
20.30.5
20.120.6
Auto8.3
Teleop2.1
End9.9
blue by 5.2
3646
#42
25.50.9
22.523.4
Auto12.3
Teleop3.1
End10.1