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Red88
602538.7
641738.7
815820.3
Blue122
808441.5
728551.8
364625.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10712805015020025030088122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.2
39.038.7
Auto14.5
Teleop7.9
End16.4
blue by 13.1
51.80.3
49.850.1
Auto18.0
Teleop6.7
End27.1
Second
38.70.2
38.938.7
Auto10.5
Teleop12.0
End16.2
blue by 2.8
41.50.3
39.439.7
Auto13.6
Teleop7.2
End20.7
Third
8158
#25
20.30.3
20.620.3
Auto8.3
Teleop2.1
End9.9
blue by 5.2
3646
#42
25.50.3
23.423.7
Auto12.3
Teleop3.1
End10.1